òòò½Íø Review
ISSN 0002-8282 (Print) | ISSN 1944-7981 (Online)
Self-Fulfilling Fluctuations in HANK Economies
òòò½Íø Review
(pp. 2542–73)
Abstract
We show that in heterogeneous agent New Keynesian (HANK) economies with countercyclical risk, the natural interest rate is endogenous and co-moves with output, leaving the economy susceptible to self-fulfilling fluctuations. Unlike in representative agent New Keynesian models, the Taylor principle is not sufficient to guarantee uniqueness of equilibrium in HANK if risk is even mildly countercyclical: Multiple bounded equilibria exist, no matter how strongly monetary policy responds to changes in inflation. For an active monetary policy to eliminate self-fulfilling fluctuations, it must stabilize the endogenous natural rate fluctuations. Alternatively, a passive monetary and active fiscal regime can also eliminate equilibrium multiplicity.Citation
Acharya, Sushant, and Jess Benhabib. 2026. "Self-Fulfilling Fluctuations in HANK Economies." òòò½Íø Review 116 (7): 2542–73. DOI: 10.1257/aer.20240642Additional Materials
JEL Classification
- E12 General Aggregative Models: Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
- E23 Macroeconomics: Production
- E31 Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
- E32 Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- E43 Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
- E52 Monetary Policy
- E62 Fiscal Policy