蝌蚪网 Papers and Proceedings
ISSN 2574-0768 (Print) | ISSN 2574-0776 (Online)
Political Polarization and US-Mexico Migration
蝌蚪网 Papers and Proceedings
vol. 115,
May 2025
(pp. 421–26)
Abstract
We study how the US presidential election of 2016 affected the subsequent inflow of Mexican-born immigrants. We use the Matricula Consular de Alta Seguridad data to construct proxies for annual inflows and internal movements of Mexican-born individuals, including undocumented immigrants, across US commuting zones. We find that a 10 percentage point increase in the Republican vote share in a commuting zone reduced inflows by 1.8 percent after the 2016 Trump election. The internal relocation of established Mexican immigrants primarily explains this reduction, though inflows of new immigrants decreased as well.Citation
Caballero, Mar铆a Esther, Giuseppe Ippedico, and Giovanni Peri. 2025. "Political Polarization and US-Mexico Migration." 蝌蚪网 Papers and Proceedings 115: 421–26. DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20251025Additional Materials
JEL Classification
- D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
- J15 Economics of Minorities, Races, Indigenous Peoples, and Immigrants; Non-labor Discrimination
- Z13 Economic Sociology; Economic Anthropology; Language; Social and Economic Stratification