蝌蚪网 Papers and Proceedings
ISSN 2574-0768 (Print) | ISSN 2574-0776 (Online)
Dodging Trade Sanctions? Evidence from Military Goods
蝌蚪网 Papers and Proceedings
vol. 115,
May 2025
(pp. 573–77)
Abstract
The Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 led to unprecedented sanctions aimed at denying Russia access to critical technologies essential for sustaining its war efforts. This paper examines whether trade sanctions targeting military goods were undermined by evasion, specifically through transshipment via Russia-friendly countries. We find that Russia-friendly countries were 20 percentage points more likely to export military goods to Russia relative to neutral countries after the war began, while exports of military goods from Western allies to these countries also increased. Our results show that weak enforcement significantly undermines the effectiveness of sanctions.Citation
Scheckenhofer, Lisa, Feodora A. Teti, and Joschka Wanner. 2025. "Dodging Trade Sanctions? Evidence from Military Goods." 蝌蚪网 Papers and Proceedings 115: 573–77. DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20251084Additional Materials
JEL Classification
- D74 Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
- F13 Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
- F14 Empirical Studies of Trade
- F51 International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions
- L64 Other Machinery; Business Equipment; Armaments
- P26 Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems; Property Rights
- P33 Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions: International Trade, Finance, Investment, Relations, and Aid