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The Ins and Outs of Cyclical Unemployment

By Michael W. L. Elsby, Ryan Michaels, and Gary Solon

òòò½Íø Journal: Macroeconomics, January 2009

A dominant trend in recent modeling of labor market fluctuations is to treat unemployment inflows as acyclical. This trend has been encouraged by recent influential papers that stress the role of longer unemployment spells, rather than more unemploymen...

Children in the Vanguard of the U.S. Welfare State: A Review of Janet Currie's The Invisible Safety Net and Jane Waldfogel's What Children Need

By Eugene Smolensky

Journal of Economic Literature, December 2007

Policy driven social science research intended to influence the future of the U.S. welfare state has, during the past decade, emphasized improving the life-chances of children, particularly children disadvantaged at birth by the socioeconomic status of...

Takeovers: Their Causes and Consequences

[Symposium: Takeovers]

By Michael C. Jensen

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 1988

Economists have accumulated considerable evidence and knowledge on the effects of the takeover market. Here, I focus on current aspects of the controversy. My assessment is that the market for corporate control is creating large benefits for shareholders ...

Understanding Bubbly Episodes

By Vasco M. Carvalho, Alberto Martin, and Jaume Ventura

òòò½Íø Review, May 2012

Over the last two decades US aggregate wealth has fluctuated substantially. Against the backdrop of the Great Recession, the effects of these boom-and-bust cycles have come to dominate academic and policy discussions. How can we explain these fluctuations...

Economic Forecasting

By Graham Elliott and Allan Timmermann

Journal of Economic Literature, March 2008

Forecasts guide decisions in all areas of economics and finance and their value can only be understood in relation to, and in the context of, such decisions. We discuss the central role of the loss function in helping determine the forecaster's objectiv...

Do Expert Reviews Affect the Demand for Wine?

By Richard Friberg and Erik ³Ò°ùö²Ô±ç±¹¾±²õ³Ù

òòò½Íø Journal: Applied Economics, January 2012

We examine the demand for wines in Sweden using five years of weekly data on sales, advertising, and expert reviews. The effect of a favorable review peaks in the week after publication with an increase in demand of 6 percent, and the effect remains signi...