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Crises and Recoveries in an Empirical Model of Consumption Disasters

By Emi Nakamura, ´³Ã³²Ô Steinsson, Robert Barro, and ´³´Ç²õé ±«°ù²õú²¹

òòò½Íø Journal: Macroeconomics, July 2013

We estimate an empirical model of consumption disasters using new data on consumption for 24 countries over more than 100 years, and study its implications for asset prices. The model allows for partial recoveries after disasters that unfold over multi...

Governance and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

[Symposium: Slow Growth in Africa]

By Benno J. Ndulu and Stephen A. O'Connell

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 1999

Real income per head in much of sub-Saharan Africa grew rapidly in the 1960s, but faltered following the first OPEC oil price shock in 1973-74, and then stagnated or fell from the late 1970s to the early 1990s. Africa also saw a broad wave of authoritaria...

Reassessing Discretionary Fiscal Policy

[Symposium: Fiscal Policy]

By John B. Taylor

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2000

Recent changes in policy research and in policy-making call for a reassessment of countercyclical fiscal policy. Such a reassessment indicates that countercyclical fiscal policy should focus on automatic stabilizers rather than discretionary actions. Mone...

The Empirical Foundations of Calibration

[Symposium: Computational Experiments in Macroeconomics]

By Lars Peter Hansen and James J. Heckman

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 1996

Interest in simulating recently developed dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models of the economy stimulated a demand for parameters. This has given rise to calibration as advocated by Finn E. Kydland and Edward C. Prescott (1982). This paper explore...

Inferring Strategic Voting

By Kei Kawai and Yasutora Watanabe

òòò½Íø Review, April 2013

We estimate a model of strategic voting and quantify the impact it has on election outcomes. Because the model exhibits multiplicity of outcomes, we adopt a set estimator. Using Japanese general-election data, we find a large fraction (63.4 percent, 84...