Intangible Capital
Paper Session
Monday, Jan. 5, 2026 1:00 PM - 3:00 PM (EST)
This session will be streamed live.
- Chair: Nicolas Crouzet, Northwestern University
How Labor-Intensive Is Investment?
Abstract
How labor-intensive is the production of investment goods (and services)? In this paper, we construct a harmonized dataset covering the US economy over the last five decades. We estimate the labor share separately in sectors involved in the production of consumption versus investment goods.R&D uncertainty and cycles
Abstract
Investment in equipment and structures is one of the most cyclical components of GDP, a fact often associated with a negative response to heightened uncertainty in recessions. R&D investment, by contrast, is only mildly procyclical. We show that this difference could arise because of a positive response of R&D investment to uncertainty promoting more research, development, and experimentation, a feature of most recessions but most notably during COVID. Both effects are distinct manifestations of real options, one in which costly reversibility delays investment, and the other in which investment enhances resolution of uncertainty.Discussant(s)
Laura Veldkamp
,
Columbia University
Lawrence D.W. Schmidt
,
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Thomas Winberry
,
University of Pennsylvania
JEL Classifications
- E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy