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Economic Shocks and Crime: Evidence from the Brazilian Trade Liberalization

By Rafael Dix-Carneiro, Rodrigo R. Soares, and Gabriel Ulyssea

òòò½Íø Journal: Applied Economics, October 2018

This paper studies the effect of changes in economic conditions on crime. We exploit the 1990s trade liberalization in Brazil as a natural experiment generating exogenous shocks to local economies. We document that regions exposed to larger tariff reducti...

Cheating and Incentives: Learning from a Policy Experiment

By °äé²õ²¹°ù Martinelli, Susan W. Parker, Ana Cristina ±Êé°ù±ð³ú-³Ò±ð²¹, and Rodimiro Rodrigo

òòò½Íø Journal: Economic Policy, February 2018

We use a database generated by a policy intervention that incentivized learning as measured by standardized exams to investigate empirically the relationship between cheating by students and cash incentives to students and teachers. We adapt methods from ...

Optimal Trend Inflation

By Klaus Adam and Henning Weber

òòò½Íø Review, February 2019

Sticky price models featuring heterogeneous firms and systematic firm-level productivity trends deliver radically different predictions for the optimal inflation rate than their popular homogenous-firm counterparts: (i) the optimal steady-state inflation ...

Monetary Policy According to HANK

By Greg Kaplan, Benjamin Moll, and Giovanni L. Violante

òòò½Íø Review, March 2018

We revisit the transmission mechanism from monetary policy to household consumption in a Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian (HANK) model. The model yields empirically realistic distributions of wealth and marginal propensities to consume because of two fea...

Aggregate Recruiting Intensity

By Alessandro Gavazza, Simon Mongey, and Giovanni L. Violante

òòò½Íø Review, August 2018

We develop an equilibrium model of firm dynamics with random search in the labor market where hiring firms exert recruiting effort by spending resources to fill vacancies faster. Consistent with microevidence, fast-growing firms invest more in recruiting ...

Estimating the Production Function for Human Capital: Results from a Randomized Controlled Trial in Colombia

By Orazio Attanasio, Sarah Cattan, Emla Fitzsimons, Costas Meghir, and Marta Rubio-Codina

òòò½Íø Review, January 2020

We examine the channels through which a randomized early childhood intervention in Colombia led to significant gains in cognitive and socio-emotional skills among a sample of disadvantaged children aged 12 to 24 months at baseline. We estimate the determi...

Discounting Disentangled

By Moritz A. Drupp, Mark C. Freeman, Ben Groom, and Frikk Nesje

òòò½Íø Journal: Economic Policy, November 2018

The economic values of investing in long-term public projects are highly sensitive to the social discount rate (SDR). We surveyed over 200 experts to disentangle disagreement on the risk-free SDR into its component parts, including pure time preference, t...