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Flow Origins of Labor Force Participation Fluctuations

By Michael Elsby, Bart Hobijn, Fatih Karahan, Gizem °­´ÇÅŸ²¹°ù, and ´¡²âÅŸ±ð²µÃ¼±ô ½¢²¹³ó¾±²Ô

òòò½Íø Papers and Proceedings, May 2019

We investigate the origins of cyclical and trend movements in the labor force participation rate (LFPR) using a three-state flow decomposition. The procyclicality of LFPR can be traced to cyclical flows between employment and unemployment. By contrast, la...

Toward the Next Generation of Scholarship: Challenges and Opportunities for Full Participation in PhD Training in Economics

By Thomas D. Jeitschko

òòò½Íø Papers and Proceedings, May 2019

A great advantage of our rigorous doctoral training is that as PhD economists we speak a common language that allows for efficient vetting and quick dissemination of ideas and insights. But what good is sophisticated grammar and a powerful vocabulary if t...

A Cautionary Tale about Emergency Financial Assistance without Services: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial Evaluation at a Community College

By William N. Evans, Melissa S. Kearney, Brendan Perry, and James X. Sullivan

òòò½Íø Papers and Proceedings, May 2019

Community college completion rates are extremely low, especially among low-income students. One potential explanation is that low-income students have limited capacity to overcome financial shocks, such as large medical, legal, or car repair bills. Some p...

Is Inflation Just Around the Corner? The Phillips Curve and Global Inflationary Pressures

By Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Mauricio Ulate

òòò½Íø Papers and Proceedings, May 2019

Tightening labor markets in the United States and other advanced economies suggest inflation should be on the rise, yet it remains subdued. Is the Phillips curve broken? We bring together surveys of household or firm expectations for 18 countries to estim...

Place-Based Policies, Creation, and Agglomeration Economies: Evidence from China's Economic Zone Program

By Yi Lu, Jin Wang, and Lianming Zhu

òòò½Íø Journal: Economic Policy, August 2019

Combining rich firm and administrative data, this paper examines the incidence and effectiveness of a prominent place-based policy in China: special economic zones. Establishing zones is found to have had a positive effect on capital investment, employmen...