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Measuring the Effects of Corporate Tax Cuts

[Symposium: The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act]

By Alan J. Auerbach

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2018

On December 22, 2017, President Donald Trump signed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), the most sweeping revision of US tax law since the Tax Reform Act of 1986. The law introduced many significant changes. However, perhaps none was as important as the c...

The Model Selection Curse

By Kfir Eliaz and Ran Spiegler

òòò½Íø Review: Insights, September 2019

A statistician takes an action on behalf of an agent, based on the agent's self-reported personal data and a sample involving other people. The action that he takes is an estimated function of the agent's report. The estimation procedure involves model se...

Bridging the Intention-Behavior Gap? The Effect of Plan-Making Prompts on Job Search and Employment

By Martin Abel, Rulof Burger, Eliana Carranza, and Patrizio Piraino

òòò½Íø Journal: Applied Economics, April 2019

The paper tests the effects of plan making on job search and employment. In a field experiment with unemployed youths, participants who complete a detailed job search plan increase the number of job applications submitted (by 15 percent) but not the time ...

Evaluating Strategic Forecasters

By Rahul Deb, Mallesh M. Pai, and Maher Said

òòò½Íø Review, October 2018

Motivated by the question of how one should evaluate professional election forecasters, we study a novel dynamic mechanism design problem without transfers. A principal who wishes to hire only high-quality forecasters is faced with an agent of unknown qua...

International Reserves and Rollover Risk

By Javier Bianchi, Juan Carlos Hatchondo, and Leonardo Martinez

òòò½Íø Review, September 2018

We study the optimal accumulation of international reserves in a quantitative model of sovereign default with long-term debt and a risk-free asset. Keeping higher levels of reserves provides a hedge against rollover risk, but this is costly because using ...

Ownership, Concentration, and Investment

By ³Ò±ð°ù³¾Ã¡²Ô ³Ò³Ü³Ù¾±Ã©°ù°ù±ð³ú and Thomas Philippon

òòò½Íø Papers and Proceedings, May 2018

The US business sector has underinvested relative to profits, funding costs, and Tobin's Q since the early 2000s. Building on prior work, we argue that decreasing competition, rising intangibles, and tightening governance explain, respectively, about one-...