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Empirical Evidence on Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve

By Sophocles Mavroeidis, Mikkel ±Ê±ô²¹²µ²ú´Ç°ù²µ-²Ñø±ô±ô±ð°ù, and James H. Stock

Journal of Economic Literature, March 2014

We review the main identification strategies and empirical evidence on the role of expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips curve, paying particular attention to the issue of weak identification. Our goal is to provide a clear understanding of the role ...

The Ecosystem Impacts of Severe Warming

By Robert Mendelsohn, Iain C. Prentice, Oswald Schmitz, Benjamin Stocker, Robert Buchkowski, and Benjamin Dawson

òòò½Íø Review, May 2016

This paper uses a quantitative dynamic ecosystem vegetation model to explore the potential impact of warming up to 9-12 degrees C on global ecosystems. The paper does not find evidence of a global collapse in terrestrial ecosystems but there is evidence o...

Financial Markets and Firm Dynamics

By Thomas F. Cooley and Vincenzo Quadrini

òòò½Íø Review, December 2001

Recent studies have shown that the dynamics of firms (growth, job reallocation, and exit) are negatively correlated with the initial size of the firm and its age. In this paper we analyze whether financial factors, in addition to technological differences...

Matching and Sorting in Online Dating

By Gunter J. Hitsch, Ali ±á´Ç°ù³Ù²¹Ã§²õ³Ü, and Dan Ariely

òòò½Íø Review, March 2010

Using data on user attributes and interactions from an online dating site, we estimate mate preferences, and use the Gale-Shapley algorithm to predict stable matches. The predicted matches are similar to the actual matches achieved by the dating site, ...

Is the Phillips Curve Alive and Well after All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation

By Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

òòò½Íø Journal: Macroeconomics, January 2015

We evaluate explanations for the absence of disinflation during the Great Recession and find popular explanations to be insufficient. We propose a new explanation for this puzzle within the context of a standard Phillips curve. If firms' inflation expecta...

Is the WTO Passé?

By Kyle Bagwell, Chad P. Bown, and Robert W. Staiger

Journal of Economic Literature, December 2016

The WTO has delivered policy outcomes that are very different from those likely to emerge out of the recent wave of preferential trade agreements (PTAs). Should economists see this as an efficient institutional hand-off, where the WTO has carried trade li...